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Mad Cow is confirmed.

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Ray,IN

12-23-2003 20:53:36




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Last year some sheep were suspected of having it and were destroyed, Today the news confirmed a case of mad cow in Washington. Beef prices are going to plummet now. So much for a Happy New Year.




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Reddy

12-26-2003 18:46:43




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
I thought you were talking about my mother in law.



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Shane

12-26-2003 06:59:08




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
We should have know this would come out! I mean the prices of cattle were getting too high as were grain prices so they had to do something to drive them back down!



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young guy

12-25-2003 01:20:22




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
I totally agree with kyhayman the world is not going to end because of this one cow, this just time to be concerend. I am just a young guy just getting a good start on my own and i see this as a great oppertunity to buy some really cheap feeder cattle this next week. I figure around april or may cattle prices will be back to normal. Remember back on 9/11 when everyone went into a big panic, including me. I remember selling fat cattle and losing alot of money because of my panic. And I learned a very expensive lesson if I would have thought about it at the time I would have held those cattle back and fed them just corn and bean fodder and waited a couple of months until the prices came back up. It also taught me to have a large cushion of money in the bank. When everyone was selling cattle off this fall and using that money for new pickups and machinery I was thinking to myself that they should be saving for tough times. And now those people wished they had that 30 grand in the bank instead of the new pickup sitting in the drive way.

Just my thoughts.

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T-Bone

12-25-2003 05:06:19




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 Re: Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to young guy, 12-25-2003 01:20:22  
Our government is not set up to encourage anyone to save money. If you try to save 30 grand Uncle Sam will take most of it, but if you invest it in a pickup or farm machinery at least you have something(Uncle Sam is not going to take half of your pickup).



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Heat Houser

12-24-2003 16:05:00




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
I wonder why the dairyman sold the cow for slaughter. Looks to me that a desire for about $100.00 (downers typically bring $100-$150) will take out a few billion in beef sales.
I have a few fats ready to go and I shudder to guess where the price will end up.
I vote for downers going to tank not into the food chain.



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Dick in Ore..

12-24-2003 21:53:27




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 Re: Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Heat Houser, 12-24-2003 16:05:00  
Heat Houser,

I can understand your problem about shipping your fat cattle. I'm afraid the beef prices are going to sink out of site. Most people don't understand that when cattle have reached weight and are ready to ship, they have to go.. If you hang on to them, they end up costing you more, feeding a finished animal. This is of great concern to anyone related to farming. With 14 countries stopping all U.S. exports of beef, including Japan and Mexico, what will happen to all the processed meat? Some stores are even pulling their red meat from their meat counters. Without demand prices only have one direction to go. Will packers be buying if they know they don't have a market for their finished product, even if the price is rock bottom? With exports coming to a halt, I'm sure this will have a devistating effect on the market here at home. The majority of Americans know nothing about meat production and only go by what they see on TV and hear on the news. But, will they believe the FDA and USDA when they tell them the meat is safe to eat? As if they know if it's safe or not.. USDA head, Ann Veneman stated on the national news, the spinal cord and related organs did not reach the consumer and our meat is safe to eat. How in the h*ll does she know? You know as well as I do, every scrap of meat is not inspected by a USDA inspector before it leaves the processing plant. This would be impossible.
It was just by luck that tissue samples from this suspect cow were taken, then an employee at the Ames Iowa testing facility found it to test positive. But, by the time the testing was done, I'm sure the meat from that cow was long gone to,, well let's say hamburgers..

I wonder how many people will be running to the doctor with symtoms of Creutzfelt-Jakob disease within a week? The news media is going to blow this one up as much as they can.
What a shame...

Dick

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Greasy John

12-25-2003 20:10:08




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 Re: Re: Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Dick in Ore.., 12-24-2003 21:53:27  
Dick I also live in Oregon (N.E.)where beef is king Baker County rates No.40 I think in US for beef production. That said Why in He!! would a bussiness man sell a down cow to anything but a rendering works? Dont you think they had some idea of what that cow suffered. I to will keep eating my favorite meat --Even tho I know my Goverment wouldnt lie to me --Shades of Weapons of mass destruction!! OH yes the gross revenue to Baker county was said to be 48 Million dollars .Bet its 1/2 that in 2004. John

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Dick in Ore.

12-25-2003 21:24:48




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 Re: Re: Re: Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Greasy John, 12-25-2003 20:10:08  
Hi John,
There are many questions I have that aren't being answered on the coverage of the Mad Cow.. Yes, a good question, why did the dairyman ship this cow? Had she recently calved and was down with milk fever? If that's the case, she was possibly in good shape for slaughter. You know an operation with 4000 head won't mess with a milk fever patient very long. Or, had the cow maybe fallen in the lot, from her BSE condition, and couldn't get up? This dairyman or his employees would most likely have never guessed this cow was suffering from BSE.. So, for the sake of defending the dairyman, lets assume the cow was in decent shape, but, she couldn't get up. So, he shipped her to Moses Lake to be slaughtered. Apparently the USDA has requirments in place concerning downed animals. They either require all downed animals or a percentage of downed animals to be sampled and tissue samples sent to a USDA lab for testing. This cow tested positive and that's what got the ball rolling.

Just heard on the news that the entire herd at the farm will be slaughtered and their brains and spinal cord checked. If I heard correctly, this dairyman has his 4000 animals on three different farms. So, maybe he won't be out of business. Seems like a real shame to have to slaughter the entire herd, probably some real good cows will be lost. But, that's our government at work.
Now that the public knows that downed cows "legally" enter the food chain, I'm sure this is a law that will be changed once congress goes back to work. While a small percentage of downed cows probably would be acceptable, most would not. Something interesting: We've always heard this cow was down, but an employee at the Moses Lake plant said he remembered that cow,, and she walked into the slaughterhouse.. I saw that interview last night on the news.
Now, here in Oregon, all the major retailers are pulling hamburger from their meat counters. Any meat that was processed in any of the 4 plants that this cows meat passed through is probably garbage. Let's overdue it.. But they all want to show the public they are doing all they can to stop the meat from entering the food chain. Well, if my memory is correct, the cow was slaughtered on the 9th of Dec.. I would think that hamburger is long gone. It was probably mixed with tons of other hamburger and ended up in several different places.
Now that the lab in England has confirmed the cow did indeed have BSE, it will give the USDA room to go hog wild.. I'll be surprised if there's a cow left in the Mabton area.. They'll have to put a show of force. Should be some cheap hamburger on the domestic front, since the rest of the world has banned U.S. beef.
Let's hope this is all behind us soon..

Dick

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Rauville

12-26-2003 04:51:28




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 Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Dick in Ore., 12-25-2003 21:24:48  
Dick;
Another interesting point is that under current USDA / FSIS (Food Safety and Inspection Service) regulations all SUSPECT animals are to be RETAINED until test results are received. In the case of slaughtered animals, the meat is to be RETAINED, with either the carcass being railed into a locked cage within the cooler, or if boxed, the boxes would be tagged and held until test results were known.
It's obvious that in Mose Lake none of this procedure was followed, and the meat was allowed to enter the food chain. The USDA tells us about all the security layers that are provided...but, if they are ignored, what do they provide?
Happy Holidays;
Neil

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Dick in Ore.

12-26-2003 10:06:21




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 Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Rauville, 12-26-2003 04:51:28  
Neil,,

An excellent point!!! If this animal was suspect enough to sample the tissues and send them to the lab, bells must have been ringing.. But, somehow the carcuss left the slaughterhouse and then went to another plant for boning. From there it went to two seperate processors.. As you stated, the meat should have never left the slaughterhouse. It's going to be interesting to see how the USDA and FSIS wiggle out of this one.. Some sharp reporter will be asking this question and let's see what they have to say.. This whole mess stinks to high heaven..

Happy holidays,,
Dick

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Dick in Ore..

12-24-2003 19:01:40




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 Re: Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Heat Houser, 12-24-2003 16:05:00  
Just heard on the news that the dairyman in Mabton Washington owns a heard of 4000 cows. He shipped about 25 at the same time he shipped the suspect cow. With 4000 cows, he probably ships 25 every month, maybe more, and I doubt those being shipped are going to slaughter just because they aren't producing up to expectation.. Also reported on the news: 73% of downed cattle that are slaughtered, "do" enter the food chain. Hummmmm... Do you think 100% of these animals are tested?

It's true this was a dairy cow, not a beef animal. But, do you think consumers know the difference? For most,, meat is meat, no matter if it's dairy or beef. Anyone who thinks that that hamburger they eat from McDonalds comes from a nice feedlot finished steer,, well, they have a lot to learn.. Maybe they think a burned out dairy cow is cut into those prime cuts you see in the supermarket..

An interesting note: Burgerville, an Oregon & Washington fast food burger restaurant, with 39 restaurants, announce that thier meat comes from vegetarian beef.. Yeah right...

As for me,, I'll keep eating red meat, certianly not because I trust the USDA inspection service, but, because I think this is blown clear out of proportion..

Dick

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Heat Houser

12-24-2003 19:44:53




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 Re: Re: Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Dick in Ore.., 12-24-2003 19:01:40  
Large dairies tend to have a cull rate of around 35-40% per year. With 4000 head, he should be culling 1400-1600 head per year which is 116-133 head per month. His weekly cull would be in the 25 range as you have said. Consumers do not know where or how their food gets to them and they certainly don't know about the source of cheap hamburger.



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kyhayman

12-24-2003 13:55:20




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
Everybody take a deep breath. Yes it's bad that we now have confirmed mad cow disease in the US. Yes futures dropped the limit and yes we are going to take a price hit.

It was going to happen and if it had to it could not have happened at a better time. Most live markets are closed for 2 weeks for the Christmas/New Years holiday; terrorism alerts are the main headline, not this mad cow case; prices are at record levels so even a 20% hit in price is still above the 10 yr average; it was in a dairy herd, not a beef herd; we are at seasonal low demand with a relatively small % of the cattle needing to come off feed; and kill weights are at decade lows. Guys I feel for are the ones with feeders ready to kill and not having their price locked. This isnt Canada, part of what hurt them is they lack domestic kill capacity for their cattle so they ship a lot to the US for kill.

Outside the short term (the next month will be ugly) expect a dime drop in the market b/c we will have to open the Canadian border, and another dime drop due to loss of foreign market share. If you are in the business for the long haul we are far better off with .80 5 and 6 weights. When we see $1 a pound 5's and 6'es everybody and their brother want to own cattle. When you get feds in the 90's it gets absurd. Then all it takes is feed prices to jump (anybody seen where soybeans are heading?) and we wind up selling 5 weights in the 40's (remember 1994, I do, lost almost a hundred grand that year).

I guess what I'm trying to say is now is the time for just concern, not panic. The fundamentals are here as long as this doesn't go on forever for this to pass by the time grass comes.

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Dick in Ore..

12-24-2003 13:17:30




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
Some facts and questions:

Yesterday, Sec. of Agriculture, Ann Veneman announced that a Holstein cow in Washington has been tested as "presumtive" positive for BSE. To me,, presumtive means, they're not sure.

She also announced that samples were being sent to England for further testing, and it could take up to a week to determine the results. WHAT?? We've seen what can happen in one day,, what will happen within the next week? Why does the USDA have to depend on the UK to determine if this cow did indeed have BSE? Maybe we need to give the Department of Agriculture more MONEY.. hahahaha..

Sec. Veneman also announced that the sample had been taken on Dec. 9 and tested in Ames Iowa.. So, apparently it takes 15 days to get the results of a test.. I would think in 15 days the meat from the suspect animal would be long gone into dogfood or hamburgers.. Or,, was it being aged for some prime cuts of meat?

Somehow the downed cow made it from the dairy in Mabton, to Verns Meats in Moses Lake, dead or alive?? That's about a 120 mile trip. Was the animal slaughtered on the farm, then taken to Verns Meats, Or, was the cow transported alive to Verns, then slaughtered?
Interesting question because,,I didn't think on-farm slaughtered animals (not inspected at time of slaughter) could enter the commercial food chain???
Once the "downed" cow reached Moses Lake, (dead or alive) it must have hung around for a few days before "parts" made the long trip to Midway Meats near Centralia, Washington, that's another 250 miles, and Willamette Meats, in Oregon, about 300 miles..WOW.. Must have been good meat, everyone wanted some..

Some intersting questions that aren't making the news. Was the "downed" cow processed for pet food or human consumption? We all know what the term "downed cows" means,, something the dogs might eat.
Was all of the processing of the animal legal? Maybe we don't want to know..

For those who don't know anything about meat processing, I think you're about to find out. It's a mess and impossible to track. Sure, they will tell you that they can trace everything, but, think about it.. The meat from the this one downed cow traveled so many miles, either hanging or in totes, mixed with other meat products.

That poor farmer in Mabton. His place is being turned upside down.. He'll be lucky if the USDA doesn't kill every cow he has and burn his place to the ground. Those meat processing plants are swarming with USDA inspectors too, be it good or bad. Not to mention all the tv news trucks who are lined up to give us the "facts"..

This whole mess is going to be devistating to the beef industry in the U.S.. Three times more people have already died this year from the flu than Mad Cow Disease ever killed in history. It's a media frenzy..

While BSE might be bad,, believe me, there are other things that are a whole lot worse..

Dick

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KURT

12-24-2003 18:51:01




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 Re: Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Dick in Ore.., 12-24-2003 13:17:30  
I hear ya, the media looks for anything that smells, looks like or sounds like a story. No matter how much hype is given to it.



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Slowpoke

12-24-2003 23:19:31




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 Re: Re: Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to KURT, 12-24-2003 18:51:01  
The old film shows the cow trying to walk on a wet, dirty, slippery concrete floor. Now they've got a new cow on a smooth, highly polished floor. Looks like a set-up to me. The "sick" cow was gone long before any news crews showed up.



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tlak

12-24-2003 13:07:46




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
Some you you mention I hope it goes to the pet food industry. This is better why?



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Greasy John

12-24-2003 07:18:40




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
Well Ray ,I am abt 100 miles southeast of this place and things are scary around here.You are right abt the new year ---only saving grace is that a lot of the local ranchers here in the Blue Mts sold thier herds way down last 3-4 months. We have a 2000 head cow calf oper. going up the road and they are buying hay because of real short water last summer. Poor devils!! John



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John in Md.

12-24-2003 06:40:52




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
Just my luck hauled 6 feeders[750 avg] to the auction last night. Was told prices were 62.5/cwt,thats 22/cwt off last week.Was wondering what was going on, didn't hear about it until I got home. Don't want to think what next week is going to be like.
Merry Christmas to all and let's pray for next year.



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Dan

12-24-2003 06:27:31




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
BSE really hit us hard in Canada, I would not wish that curse on anyone.The older operators withstood but the upstarts got nailed badly and ranches were lost.



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Ray Hudson

12-24-2003 05:26:42




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
It will hurt reguardless of what part of ag you are in but for today and tomorrow ill be thankfull for family and friends that are healthy and a God who sent his son to earth for me God bless Merry Christmas from the Hudsons in west centrail ind



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RunnyNose Bob

12-24-2003 04:44:35




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
They used to call these critters 'canners and cutters', now they call them downers. The dairy farmers around here all all the time hauling the ones that can't get up to the sale barn. Hopefully, they are going to the dog food plant.
Yeah, this is just more food for the do-gooders and anti-beef "people" to use against agriculture. And they are not just against "corporate agriculture", they are against any and all agriculture. Remember the Poppers and their "Buffalo Commons" theory, Remember those that want to drive the ranchers off their leased land, because cattle grazing is not compatible with wildlife and nature? Remember PETA? When it comes to destroying farming and ranching, the radicals make no distinction about who it is or how big you are.
The 3S solution needs to be applied.

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KURT

12-24-2003 04:38:08




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
Yeah, it sucks but most of the people not buying beef will be caught up in the scare, then they will eat chicken instead. I think you have a better chance of getting struck by lightning then contracting Mad Cow.



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Rauville

12-24-2003 04:24:50




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
Just read the AP story on this: "The disease was found in a Holstein cow, which could not move on its own, from a farm in Mabton, Wash....It tested preliminarily positive on Dec. 9. Parts of the cow that would be infected — the brain, the spinal cord and the lower part of the small intestine — were removed before the animal went to a meat processing plant." Here was a animal that tested positive BEFORE it went for processing, and into the FOOD CHAIN! The USDA is really going to be hung out to dry on this one. Why would any USDA Veterinarian (every Federally inspected plant has one) allow that to happen?
Just what we needed to find in our Christmas stocking! Anyway...may everyone have a Merry Christmas, and a Peaceful New Year...God Bless!

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DuaneWKKC

12-24-2003 03:56:21




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
Just goes to show the lack of scruples in industry these days. If a cow is sick and down, why in the H double E ll would you butcher it? I would almost bet that it is some sort of corporate farm. This really looks bad for US agricultre. Would like to have more info on the farm and their feeding practices. Also wonder if the farm has been quarentened and shutdown.

Hope this all works out well, could destroy a good recovery and really damage the small farmers.

DuaneW.

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Phil in MS

12-24-2003 06:03:24




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 Re: Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to DuaneWKKC, 12-24-2003 03:56:21  
From the information I have seen the farm has been quarantined. When it says slaughter I am not certain that it means food slaughter. It could have been slaughtered for the pet food industry. Either way it is a mess.

Merry Christmas and may God Bless us all in the new year.



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42FarmallH

12-24-2003 03:11:03




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
So much for the prosperous new year. Should have sold the calves a couple weeks ago...

Mad Cow full coverage.



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Nolan

12-24-2003 03:06:49




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
No, it's just suspected, it's not confirmed. You're jumping the gun.



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doug@upr

12-23-2003 23:08:13




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
all i can say is hold on, i'm in alberta where they found the ONE case of mad cow, and it has devistated the economy. not only the ag industry which is off over 50%, but everything from grocery, electronics, to auto dealerships.

i personally think it's all a bunch of b*ll s**t but it's all political, even when you prove that your product is safe with all the scienctific means that are accepted world wide, countries still choose to ignore the facts. my business may or may not make it though this crisis, and i may be forced to change careers because of some other countries policies. it sucks, but at least i'll still have what's important. i just wish for once that something good would happen to the ag industry, it's been kicked into the ground for so long that it's hard for me to think of when anything good has happened. of course it was only canada right, we'll have to see what happens with usa.

GOOD LUCK

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cliff

12-23-2003 21:46:55




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 Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Ray,IN, 12-23-2003 20:53:36  
Ray

Just wondering where you heard that news? Got a link to it?

Thanks
Cliff



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Phil in MS

12-24-2003 06:07:52




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 Re: Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to cliff, 12-23-2003 21:46:55  
I am not sure where Ray got his information but I received an e-mail from NCBA this morning indicating that a possible BSE case was discovered on 12/9. Lab work has been sent to England for confirmation.



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john

12-24-2003 07:06:46




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 Re: Re: Re: Mad Cow is confirmed. in reply to Phil in MS, 12-24-2003 06:07:52  
Saw it on msnbc this morning. A dariy cow was confrimed to have it and was destroyed. The whole farm has been quarantined.



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