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Tractor Talk Discussion Forum

Im going to be a weatherman

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billy

07-07-2004 18:48:28




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What else could a guy do and really screw up and still have a job,,,,, ,,,,, cut my hay;; the weather man said hot and dry all week, totally wrong... Well I guess the 3rd cutting is growing nice;;;;;billy




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Davis In SC

07-08-2004 09:50:35




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 Re: Im going to be a weatherman in reply to billy , 07-07-2004 18:48:28  
The most accurate forecasts I have found are from Accuweather. One of our radio stations uses their forecasts, & they are more dependable than the ones on TV. I always look at the forecast on their website.



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old fashioned farmer

07-08-2004 08:43:55




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 Re: Im going to be a weatherman in reply to billy , 07-07-2004 18:48:28  
Howdy boys,

I had to chime in on this since I just finished up four years of schooling to become a meteorologist. I know exactly what you all are talkin about. Right now I don't have a job but look forward to gettin one since I'm sick of the joke that is t.v. weathermen. If you do some research you'll find that most weathermen on t.v. have degrees in t.v. reporting and not weather forecasting. That's reason 1 not to trust them (do your research to know who to trust). Second, most forecasting places (that includes the national weather service) are forecasting for areas that are hundreds of square miles so they give a general forecast and not a detailed county by county forecast (no matter how much they try to make it look that way). The area thing is a big hangup I have with this job. If we could somehow get more forecaster positions opened so we could get a better area coverage we would have the type of accurate forecasts we need. You could get a guy who just covers a couple counties and can spend his time on them. Accuracy would probably double. There are probably 20 to 30 different maps to look at when doing a forecast and that is just for one hour, when you have forecasts produced by the models you hear about, which are set for every 3 hours that's 160-240 maps to look at in order to forecast for just one day. Make a seven day forecast and that puts you up to 1120-1680 maps to look at. So time is another issue to contend with. Now, the thing is most of your run of the mill t.v. guys don't look at that. I did a little investigative report in college at one of the local t.v. stations. I interviewed and observed their "chief" meteorologist. What a joke. He worked the 5,5:30, and 6pm news. He came in at 2-3pm (that's just 3hrs or so before news time) and didn't even start on the forecast right away. He finally did and just ripped it off the internet, spent most of his time doing graphics. I wrote a pretty harsh report on this guy. My teacher told me that if it got published I'd probably be sued for slander. Pretty good I thought, for just telling the truth. This guy even told me they play up snow just to scare old people. He laughed about it. Stuff like that is what makes me passionate about finding work as a forecaster. I grew up and still live on a farm. Add to that, I am farming right now while I look for work. I do my own forecasting and it got my corn out 2-3 weeks ahead of others, and got my hay in the barn with only a little rain on it (had to cut and bale it even with a little rain in my forecast because it was the only stretch of good days). So, I know exactly where you all are coming from. I know the problem and hope to change at least one station (if I can get a job). And rest assured, you won't see a stupid golf forecast on my watch. God bless.

--old fashioned farmer

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leland

07-08-2004 09:10:55




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 Re: Re: Im going to be a weatherman in reply to old fashioned farmer, 07-08-2004 08:43:55  
Whats the differance between partly sunny or partly cloudy ,



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PKurilecz

07-08-2004 09:37:19




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 Re: Re: Re: Im going to be a weatherman in reply to leland, 07-08-2004 09:10:55  
Partly Sunny = more than 50% and less than 75% of the sky has cloud cover.

Partly Cloudy = more than 25% and less than 50% of the sky has cloud cover.

I find the NOAA website to be great for forecasts, especially the radar maps. If there are storms in the area, you can run the loops to see if it is coming in your direction.



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txblu

07-08-2004 09:08:10




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 Re: Re: Im going to be a weatherman in reply to old fashioned farmer, 07-08-2004 08:43:55  
Thanks!



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Your local weather dude

07-08-2004 08:30:29




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 Re: Im going to be a weatherman in reply to billy , 07-07-2004 18:48:28  
Doesn't take much. All you do is
..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .
..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .
..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .
- Censored by the Meteorological Association -
..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .
..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .
..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... ..... .
Yep its that simple. BTW did you know that seal doesn't mean crap?

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Bruce

07-08-2004 06:38:54




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 Re: Im going to be a weatherman in reply to billy , 07-07-2004 18:48:28  
Heres what I don't understand...."today partly cloudy with rain this afternoon...chance of rain 30%" Now, if the chance is only 30% or for that matter anytime the "chance" is less than 50%...why would you suggest that it is going to rain at all!??
I think this way they have it covered no matter what they say...The other day we had a forcast of...."partly cloudy today with periods of sunshine, rain later in the day...clearing tonight..." what the hell does that mean!!!!!

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49 Cubber!

07-09-2004 12:53:34




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 Re: Re: Im going to be a weatherman in reply to Bruce, 07-08-2004 06:38:54  
I belive,and Im sure Ill be corrected if Im wrong,but when they 30% or 70% chance of ran=in,it doesnt mean that there is a 30% or 70% chance that it will rain,it means that some of us,30% will get rain,70% wont and vice versa.



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Ray

07-07-2004 19:36:48




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 Re: Im going to be a weatherman in reply to billy , 07-07-2004 18:48:28  
Yea, my wife is still mad,she cancelled our
usual 4th of july picnic for about 30 relatives
because they said 70% chance of rain.We didn't get a drop.



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Jonathan

07-07-2004 20:39:30




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 Re: Re: Im going to be a weatherman in reply to Ray, 07-07-2004 19:36:48  
Thats why most of the time I don't even bother to check the weather report.



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txblu

07-08-2004 05:52:56




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 Re: Re: Re: Im going to be a weatherman in reply to Jonathan, 07-07-2004 20:39:30  
Believe it or not, I check it myself by looking to the NW for high Cirrus Clouds. If I see them coming I know that within 48 hrs it'll be wet. Other projection which accompanies that is wind velocity. Southern winds prevail here and if we get several days of 20-30 mph Southerly winds look up for the cirrus.

Pretty reliable.

Mark



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