Many ag places already locked in fert prices, and really can't do much about it - they will have fert, but the price is set - not much they can do about it.
A lot of fert comes from Canada, where they have a bit of an OPEC-type cartel on the price of fert; and have a labor issue, and are willing to shut down to let supplies match demand to keep prices up.
Most N comes from overseas these days, and so takes a long time to get here. If we don't order any thing fall, will we have any available at all in spring if _everyone_ lines up then to get it? Did wholesalers order enough then, if we didn't buy any now like 'normal'?
The world ecconomy is in a lot of flux, hard to say where prices of anything will be 6 months from now.
China & the rest of Indonesia has really ramped up their fertilizer use, and at lower prices may buy a lot more than normal - might not leave much available for USA.
So, the simple answer is that fertilizer should end up lower priced in spring.
The difficult question is, will there be any vailable to buy at that time?
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Today's Featured Article - An Old-Time Tractor Demonstration - by Kim Pratt. Sam was born in rural Kansas in 1926. His dad was a hard-working farmer and the children worked hard everyday to help ends meet. In the rural area he grew up in, the highlight of the week was Saturday when many people took a break from their work to go to town. It was on one such Saturday in the early 1940's when Sam was 16 years old that he ended up in Dennison, Kansas to watch a demonstration of a new tractor being put on by a local dealer. It was an Allis-Chalmers tractor dealership,
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